Donald J. Trump Won the 2024 Presidential Election, the AP Reported

Donald J. Trump won the 2024 presidential election, the Associated Press reported on Nov. 6, 2024. Following the AP's report, prediction P001 was recorded as confirmed.

Professor Jiang Xueqin made the prediction in April 2024, saying that Trump would win the 2024 presidential election. The call appeared in a sequence of lectures, including “Geo-Strategy #1: Iran's Strategy Matrix” on April 24, 2024, “Geo-Strategy #3: How Empire is Destroying America” on May 10, 2024, and “Geo-Strategy #5: Why Trump Will Win” on May 17, 2024. Jiang assigned the prediction a very high confidence level and a November 2024 timeline.

What Happened

The Associated Press reported on Nov. 6, 2024, that Donald J. Trump had won the 2024 U.S. presidential election against Kamala Harris. The AP reported that Trump secured 312 electoral votes and won the popular vote.

That result directly resolved Jiang's April 2024 prediction that Trump would win the 2024 presidential election. The automated fact-checker concluded that the AP's report confirmed the prediction, and the tracker recorded prediction P001 as confirmed.

The timing matters for the record. Jiang made the call roughly seven months before the November 2024 election deadline attached to the prediction. At the time, the outcome remained uncertain, even if Jiang assigned it a very high confidence level.

Track Record Context

This is the 8th confirmed prediction among 21 resolved predictions in the tracker. With 10 partial confirmations counted as hits, Jiang's headline accuracy stands at 86% on resolved predictions, against a total tracked set of 125 predictions.

That denominator is still small. Most predictions in the database remain unresolved: 104 are still pending, either not yet resolved or unverifiable. The tracker also contains 152 source lectures, 38 of which have been transcribed, so the public record is still developing as more lectures are processed and more timelines mature.

Within the overall set, this prediction falls under U.S. Elections, a category where outcomes can be resolved clearly when official election reporting and major news calls settle the result. The present status records only that this specific election call matched the AP-reported result.

What's Still Unknown

This resolution does not establish that every element of Jiang's broader election analysis was correct, nor does it evaluate the reasoning he used to reach the forecast. It records a narrower outcome: Jiang predicted that Trump would win the 2024 presidential election by November 2024, and the Associated Press reported that Trump won. Other predictions in the tracker remain pending, partially confirmed, wrong or unverifiable on their own terms.

This blog post is updated each time the prediction's status changes. Read the full prediction set at jiangpredictions.com.

See the full prediction record at P001 on the tracker · All blog posts