Professor Jiang Xueqin's Predictions By Video

Geo-Strategy #1

Geo-Strategy #1: Iran's Strategy Matrix

4 predictions 1 confirmed

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P043Russia will win the war in Ukraine Likely Wrong

P054The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon Pending

P090Japan rises as East Asian hegemon after US retreat from the region Pending

Geo-Strategy #2

Geo-Strategy #2: Christian Zionism and the Middle East Conflict

2 predictions

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P078Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy) Likely Wrong

P079Dispensationalist premillennialism will become more popular over time in America Likely Wrong

Geo-Strategy #3

Geo-Strategy #3: How Empire is Destroying America

4 predictions 1 confirmed

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P008America cannot reindustrialize due to political resistance, speculative mindset, and lack of infrastructure Pending

P009America's financial system / asset bubbles will eventually implode Pending

P043Russia will win the war in Ukraine Likely Wrong

Geo-Strategy #4

Geo-Strategy #4: Saudi Arabia's Trump Card Against Iran

4 predictions 1 confirmed

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P025Saudi Arabia is pushing the US toward war with Iran -- it cannot survive without US fighting Iran for it Pending

P036Saudi Arabia will run out of oil within 10-80 years Pending

P092Saudi Arabia's desalination plants will be attacked/destroyed by Iran, causing fresh water crisis within 2 weeks Likely Confirmed

Geo-Strategy #5

Geo-Strategy #5: Why Trump Will Win

3 predictions 2 confirmed1 wrong

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P002aTrump will pick Nikki Haley as his Vice President Wrong

P002bJD Vance is a strong alternative VP pick for Trump Confirmed

Geo-Strategy #6

Geo-Strategy #6: America's Imperial Hubris

2 predictions 1 confirmed

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P015Shock and Awe doctrine will fail in Iran Confirmed

P086Special Forces (73,000 personnel) are a ticking time bomb -- could potentially overthrow the US government Pending

Geo-Strategy #7

Geo-Strategy #7: Who Killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi?

4 predictions 1 confirmed1 wrong

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P022Iran's strategy is to lure America into a ground invasion, then fight defensive/guerrilla war in mountains Pending

P039The IRGC most likely killed Iranian President Raisi (helicopter crash May 2024) Unverifiable

P040Muhammad Mokhber will win the June 2024 Iranian presidential election Wrong

P041Mojtaba Khamenei will become the next Supreme Leader of Iran Confirmed

Geo-Strategy #8

Geo-Strategy #8: The Iran Trap

4 predictions 1 wrong

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P013The US will send ground troops into Iran Likely Confirmed

P014If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages Pending

P017Putin will declare a nuclear umbrella over Iran, preventing US nuclear use Wrong

P046NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine) Likely Wrong

Geo-Strategy #9

Geo-Strategy #9: Putin's War for the Soul of Russia

5 predictions

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P047Putin is preparing Russia for Total War to reshape Russian society Likely Confirmed

P048'Putinism' (continuous war ideology) will become the dominant global ideology for 50 years Pending

P049Russia will fall apart after Putin dies -- civil war among rival generals Pending

P053America will retreat from the world and become isolationist Pending

P054The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon Pending

Geo-Strategy #10

Geo-Strategy #10: Putin's Strategic Imagination

5 predictions

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P004Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years Pending

P024Putin is setting a trap to lure America into ground war in Iran Unverifiable

P044The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it Likely Confirmed

P055North Korea will become much more belligerent against South Korea and Japan Pending

P056BRICS will continue to expand and possibly announce new currency/trading system Pending

Geo-Strategy #11

Geo-Strategy #11: The Second American Civil War

6 predictions

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P003Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president Pending

P004Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years Pending

P005America will become a white Christian isolationist theocracy after the civil war Pending

P006In 2028, Special Forces and Deep State will commit acts of terrorism and political assassination to ensure Trump wins Pending

P007The 2028 election will trigger the full explosion of the Civil War Pending

P053America will retreat from the world and become isolationist Pending

Geo-Strategy END

Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory

6 predictions 1 confirmed1 wrong

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P061The EU will be dead in about five years (by ~2029) Pending

P064Marine Le Pen's party could govern France within 3 months (from June 2024) Wrong

P084World population will transition from 8 billion to 1 billion Pending

P085Self-driving cars will never be fully solved Pending

P090Japan rises as East Asian hegemon after US retreat from the region Pending

Civilization END

Civilization END: The Decline and Fall of the American Empire

10 predictions 1 confirmed

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P001Trump will win the 2024 Presidential election Confirmed

P003Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president Pending

P021The US-Iran war constitutes World War III Likely Wrong

P054The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon Pending

P055North Korea will become much more belligerent against South Korea and Japan Pending

P058Bitcoin is the American military's failsafe in case the USD loses reserve currency status Unverifiable

P062Germany-Russia rapprochement/alliance will eventually form Pending

P065European rearmament is really about American weapons sales shakedown, not fighting Russia Pending

P069China will NOT invade Taiwan Pending

P070US-China rapprochement (improved relations) Likely Confirmed

Geo-Strategy Update #2

Geo-Strategy Update #2: WWIII Begins

9 predictions 1 confirmed

▼

P003Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president Pending

P004Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years Pending

P012The US will bomb Iranian nuclear facilities Confirmed

P013The US will send ground troops into Iran Likely Confirmed

P014If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages Pending

P021The US-Iran war constitutes World War III Likely Wrong

P022Iran's strategy is to lure America into a ground invasion, then fight defensive/guerrilla war in mountains Pending

P032Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica) Pending

P035The world will eventually unite against Greater Israel Pending

Geo-Strategy Update #3

Geo-Strategy Update #3: The Messianic Calling

1 prediction

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P032Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica) Pending

Geo-Strategy Update #4

Geo-Strategy Update #4: Newton's Divine Plan

5 predictions

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P013The US will send ground troops into Iran Likely Confirmed

P033The Dome of the Rock will be destroyed and the Third Temple built Pending

P034Global surge of anti-Semitism will compel Jews worldwide to return to Israel Pending

P042Iran's regime deliberately held back its response to US bombing to build popular anger for total war Likely Confirmed

P078Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy) Likely Wrong

Geo-Strategy Update #5

Geo-Strategy Update #5: The Universal Law of Game Theory

3 predictions

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P013The US will send ground troops into Iran Likely Confirmed

P078Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy) Likely Wrong

P090Japan rises as East Asian hegemon after US retreat from the region Pending

Geo-Strategy Update #6

Geo-Strategy Update #6: Is Putin the Ubermensch?

8 predictions 1 wrong

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P045The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle Pending

P050Russia will defend Iran -- cannot afford for Iran to fall Pending

P051Western Ukraine will become a 'welfare state for the European Union' Pending

P060Civil wars will erupt in France and Britain after NATO losses Pending

P062Germany-Russia rapprochement/alliance will eventually form Pending

P067Turkey will be drawn into Ukraine war, collapse internally, allow Russia to take control Pending

P072There will be a falling out between China and Russia Wrong

P080Putin sees himself as restoring the Byzantine Empire -- will eventually take Constantinople Pending

Geo-Strategy Update #7

Geo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge

20 predictions 1 confirmed

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P010Catholic Church elements seek to trigger second American civil war to capture the American state Unverifiable

P026Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz Confirmed

P032Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica) Pending

P033The Dome of the Rock will be destroyed and the Third Temple built Pending

P034Global surge of anti-Semitism will compel Jews worldwide to return to Israel Pending

P045The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle Pending

P046NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine) Likely Wrong

P049Russia will fall apart after Putin dies -- civil war among rival generals Pending

P057Alexander Dugin's Eurasian geopolitical plan is being implemented by Russia Unverifiable

P060Civil wars will erupt in France and Britain after NATO losses Pending

P063Europe becomes pro-Russian after civil wars/revolutions Pending

P067Turkey will be drawn into Ukraine war, collapse internally, allow Russia to take control Pending

P068Turkey will collapse as a nation-state after Erdogan leaves power Pending

P073China will face ecological catastrophe and internal collapse Pending

P081Putin will initiate reconciliation between Islamic world and Orthodox world, then fail because he is human Pending

P089US CENTCOM military infrastructure will merge with Greater Israel project when America retreats Pending

P093Revolutions and civil conflict will erupt throughout the Islamic world after Dome of Rock destruction Pending

P096Political upheaval/revolution in Germany triggered by NATO losses Pending

P097Civil unrest/upheaval in Poland and Romania triggered by Odessa battle Pending

P098Catholicism becomes the dominant religion in America through immigration demographics Pending

Geo-Strategy Update #8

Geo-Strategy Update #8: Why the West is Doomed

2 predictions

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P066Canada will be absorbed into the American Empire in 20-30 years Pending

P087The Western world is going to collapse -- nothing anyone can do about it Pending

Secret History END

Secret History END: Pax Judaica

16 predictions 1 confirmed

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P004Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years Pending

P032Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica) Pending

P038Pax Judaica will fall relatively quickly once established (10-20 years) Pending

P059Europe will go to war with Russia Likely Wrong

P061The EU will be dead in about five years (by ~2029) Pending

P074America will embargo/blockade China Pending

P082America will attack Venezuela Confirmed

P083Tech companies (Google, etc.) will move to Israel and build global AI surveillance state Pending

P094Massive civil war within Israel once Pax Judaica is established Pending

P095Israel becomes the global reserve currency / center of global trade Pending

P099China-Japan conflict / rivalry erupts as both compete for East Asian dominance Pending

P100India involved in conflicts in Asia as regional power competition intensifies Pending

P101AI created in Jerusalem / Solomon's Temple becomes seat of world AI government (Freemason theory) Unverifiable

P102Magnetic pole excursion ushers in mini ice age that disrupts global power structures Unverifiable

P103Staged/fake alien invasion used as control mechanism Unverifiable

P104Transhumanism / near-immortality for the elite through organ transplants, stem cells, gene therapy Pending

Game Theory #9

Game Theory #9: The US-Iran War

15 predictions 5 confirmed

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P018The US-Iran war will last many weeks, possibly many years Confirmed

P019The American/Israeli strategy is to fracture Iran into ethnic enclaves fighting over water Pending

P020Attacks on Iran's civilian infrastructure (water, dams, power plants) will escalate Confirmed

P026Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz Confirmed

P027Iran will attack GCC countries (Dubai, Bahrain, Qatar) when war begins Confirmed

P028Dubai is dead as a global financial/luxury city in the long term Pending

P029Bahrain will be the first GCC country to fall (Shia uprising) Likely Confirmed

P030Dubai will go bankrupt Pending

P031The entire GCC (including Saudi Arabia) will eventually collapse Pending

P037Iran's strategy is to create a global Shia jihad and establish 'Pax Islamica' Pending

P059Europe will go to war with Russia Likely Wrong

P075Japan's economy would collapse in 8-9 months if Strait of Hormuz stays closed Pending

P076The global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months (from March 2026) Likely Wrong

P077US stock market will collapse as GCC sovereign wealth funds pull out Likely Wrong

P088Decapitation strike kills Ayatollah Khamenei Confirmed

US-Iran War Incoming

Geo-Strategy Update: US-Iran War Incoming

5 predictions 2 confirmed

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P016Nuclear weapons will NOT be used in the Iran war Confirmed

P023The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran Likely Confirmed

P024Putin is setting a trap to lure America into ground war in Iran Unverifiable

P071China will NOT significantly participate in the Iran conflict Confirmed

P091US military draft will be reinstated to sustain Iran ground war Pending

Game Theory #10

Game Theory #10: The Law of Asymmetry

17 predictions 4 confirmed

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P008America cannot reindustrialize due to political resistance, speculative mindset, and lack of infrastructure Pending

P011The United States will go to war with Iran Confirmed

P013The US will send ground troops into Iran Likely Confirmed

P014If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages Pending

P015Shock and Awe doctrine will fail in Iran Confirmed

P019The American/Israeli strategy is to fracture Iran into ethnic enclaves fighting over water Pending

P020Attacks on Iran's civilian infrastructure (water, dams, power plants) will escalate Confirmed

P022Iran's strategy is to lure America into a ground invasion, then fight defensive/guerrilla war in mountains Pending

P023The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran Likely Confirmed

P052The American Empire will fall -- defeat in Iran marks the end Pending

P078Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy) Likely Wrong

P105The US/Israel has destroyed the Iranian navy Confirmed

P106US arming of ethnic insurgents (Kurds, Baloch, Azaris) will backfire — galvanizes Persian nationalism Pending

P107US carpet bombing will unite Iran's urban-rural divide, creating more cohesive society Pending

P108Decapitation strikes will paradoxically strengthen Iranian leadership by solving elite overproduction Pending

P109Azerbaijan may seek reunification with Iranian Azaris during the conflict Pending

P110The US-Iran war is ultimately a war for human consciousness / the soul of humanity Unverifiable

Game Theory #27

Game Theory #27: Putin Enters the Chat

13 predictions

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P111Japan will remilitarize and rethink its national priorities due to war in Iran cutting off Middle East energy imports Pending

P112Japan will try to smooth relations with Russia to buy oil, seeking to avoid complete US energy dependence Pending

P113The yen carry trade will collapse, forcing Japan to repatriate money from US treasuries Pending

P114China will sell US treasuries to reduce dependence on the US dollar system Pending

P115China and Russia will eventually divorce as their long-term interests diverge Pending

P116China prefers America as global policeman over Russia and will eventually side more with America than Russia Pending

P117India and Russia will become very close over the next 10-20 years as Russia seeks Indian laborers Pending

P118South Korea will lose 80% of its population in 50 years due to 0.81 fertility rate while North Korea will survive with 1.81 Pending

P119Putin's strategy with China is to maintain neutrality - the worst outcome is China siding with US against Russia Pending

P120If America collapses internally, US military will fragment and find new host nation-states in Japan, Germany, and Israel Pending

P121Germany plans to have troops in Ukraine by 2029 as Europe moves toward total war with Russia Pending

P122Power of Siberia 2 pipeline will not be signed anytime soon as China avoids over-dependence on Russia Pending

P123US treasury rates will rise to 6% or higher as global buyers refuse to purchase US debt Pending

Game Theory #26

Game Theory #26: The Holy Empire of AI

1 prediction

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P124The Republican Party will create the AI surveillance state after winning the Second American Civil War Pending

Game Theory #25

Game Theory #25: Trump Visits China

11 predictions

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P314The broad contours of a US-China grand bargain will be announced by May 15, 2026. Pending

P315Putin will visit China shortly after Trump leaves China. Pending

P316Xi Jinping will commit roughly $1 trillion of Chinese investment into the United States, especially EV factories. Pending

P317Trump will shift US policy from not supporting Taiwan independence to openly opposing Taiwan independence and supporting China-Taiwan unification. Pending

P318China will open its financial sector to major US financial firms such as BlackRock and Blackstone. Pending

P319US stablecoin companies will gain access to Chinese consumers and sell them dollar-backed stablecoins. Pending

P320The US will use laws such as the Genius Act and Clarity Act to force stablecoins to be backed by US Treasuries. Pending

P321The US will eventually drive Treasury interest rates down to 0 percent through financial repression. Pending

P322As part of the grand bargain, China will receive renewed access to Nvidia chips for its AI sector. Pending

P323The US will gain access to China's AI market and use China as a testing ground for surveillance technology. Pending

P324The US will import Chinese manufacturing capacity into both America and Venezuela. Pending

Game Theory #24

Game Theory #24: The AI Apocalypse

7 predictions 1 confirmed

▼

P125AI companies will build bunkers to protect core scientists before releasing AGI, believing it will cause geopolitical tensions and possibly World War III Pending

P126The AI bubble will burst because AI companies cannot make money selling their products profitably Likely Confirmed

P127Iran will target and destroy data centers in the Middle East as part of its strategy against the US and Israel Pending

P128The AI apocalypse will be caused by believers who destroy the world trying to make AI save it Pending

P129AI companies will introduce AI girlfriends/sexual companions to increase user engagement and drive adoption Confirmed

P130Operation Stargate data centers will be built in the UAE, with a facility in Abu Dhabi seven times larger than Central Park consuming as much power as Miami Likely Confirmed

P131The US and China are secretly collaborating on AI development despite public rhetoric of competition Pending

Game Theory #23

Game Theory #23: The WWIII Chessboard

4 predictions

▼

P132Russia will arm its shadow fleet tankers in response to US seizures, creating oceanic warfare Pending

P133Global famine and ecological disasters will increase over the next few years Pending

P134China will return to isolationist policies and abandon its recent global engagement Pending

P135China does not have a grand strategy and will not matter in the great scheme of geopolitics Pending

Game Theory #22

Game Theory #22: Twilight of the Nation-State

1 prediction

▼

P136There will be a huge surge in eschatology and religious extremism throughout the world over the next few years as populations respond to 21st century warfare strategies Pending

Game Theory #21

Game Theory #21: World War Trump

47 predictions

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P137The US Pentagon budget will increase from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion the year after the Iran war begins Pending

P138The US Pentagon budget will reach $2 trillion as the Iran war continues Pending

P139US military draft age will be expanded to ages 18-26 starting December after the Iran war begins Pending

P140ICE budget will expand to $90 billion to create a national police force loyal only to Trump Pending

P141The US will build $500 billion in domestic data centers under Operation Stargate for AI surveillance state Pending

P142Japan's defense budget will reach $300 billion within five years Pending

P143Australia will face an oil shortage crisis as global refinery fires destroy supply Pending

P144The US will take over Greenland to block China/Russia from Arctic access to Western Hemisphere Pending

P145The US will sign a military cooperation deal with Morocco to control the Strait of Gibraltar Pending

P146The US will sign a military cooperation deal with Indonesia to control the Strait of Malacca Pending

P147The US will arm Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia to counterbalance China in Southeast Asia Pending

P148Iran will attack the Red Sea in addition to the Strait of Hormuz Pending

P149Iran will attack natural gas pipelines to disable one-third of world energy supply Pending

P150The Iran war will trigger a global economic depression Pending

P151China will be dependent on the US for energy for 10 years due to Iran war and Malacca blockade Pending

P152Russia can at most provide 40% of China's oil needs Pending

P153The US will impose a naval blockade in the Indian Ocean to cut off China's trade routes from Africa Pending

P154The US Iran war ceasefire negotiations will fail and war will continue Pending

P155The US will escalate to bombing civilian infrastructure including bridges, universities, reservoirs, power plants, and desalination plants in Iran war round two Pending

P156Jet fuel prices will rise 52% due to the Iran war Pending

P157Sulfur prices will rise 57% due to the Iran war, affecting fertilizer and microchip manufacturing Pending

P158The Democratic Party will not effectively oppose Trump's wars and will continue his policies if they win in 2028 Pending

P159The US will deliberately prolong conflicts between China-Japan, Iran-Israel-GCC, and Europe-Russia to maintain global dominance Pending

P160The US will force Japan and South Korea to buy American weapons by pitting them against China Pending

P161The US Navy will systematically take control of the world's strategic choke points to force China's submission Pending

P162The US will use the Western Hemisphere as a fortress to supply resources to a war-torn world Pending

P163China will be forced to buy oil and energy from the US in US dollars Pending

P164Global oil refinery fires - over 50 incidents in 45 days - are deliberate sabotage to reduce world oil supply Pending

P165The US strategy will backfire due to nationalism, corruption, and division accelerating American empire collapse Pending

P166Subject nations like Japan, South Korea, and Europe will eventually rise up against American empire to achieve independence Pending

P167The US will face insurgencies in Canada, Greenland, Mexico, Cuba, Colombia, Venezuela, Honduras after absorbing them into the empire Pending

P168Russia will fight a war of attrition against the US Navy by arming shadow fleet tankers Pending

P169Russia will blow up energy supplies worldwide to make the world dependent on Russia instead of America Pending

P170Most of the world will side with Russia against the United States to balance American bullying Pending

P171The US Iran war has already lasted 50 days with a two-week ceasefire as of April 2026 Pending

P172The US Iran war will last many years, possibly 10-20 years Pending

P173The US will enforce Monroe Doctrine to require China to get permission to trade with the Western Hemisphere Pending

P174The US will claim Venezuelan oil for American supply under the Monroe Doctrine Pending

P175Trump will cheat to extend his presidency beyond 2028 because his imperial plan requires continuity Pending

P176The US does not need to defeat Iran in war, only keep Iran in a constant state of chaos Pending

P177Iran war is strategically necessary for the US to block Russia's North-South Corridor and China's Belt and Road Initiative Pending

P178The US will use ICE patrols in American cities to normalize armed soldiers in streets for domestic control Pending

P179The US AI surveillance state will include digital ID, digital currency, and universal monitoring to prevent rebellion Pending

P180The US will force China and Japan to compete against each other to maintain American regional dominance in East Asia Pending

P181The US will apply 'peace through strength' doctrine by demonstrating invincibility to instill fear and obedience Pending

P182The US will abandon 'rules-based international order' in favor of 'concrete interests first' and 'warrior ethos' unrestricted warfare Pending

P183US Congress vote to restrict Trump's Iran war powers was theater - pre-arranged to fail with Democrat switching vote Pending

Game Theory #20

Game Theory #20: Mid-Term Examination

10 predictions

▼

P184Iran will become significantly more religious and eschatological as the war continues and America destroys Iranian urban centers Pending

P185Texas will emerge as the clear winner in any American civil war conflict Pending

P186AI companies will provide technological support to Christian nationalists during the Second American Civil War Pending

P187When the AI and finance bubbles burst, the US government will bail out AI companies while allowing finance to collapse Pending

P188The US will conscript approximately 28 million illegal immigrants into military service to address draft resistance from Generation Z Pending

P189A schism will develop between Iran's political leadership and military leadership (IRGC) that will cause Iran to lose ground in the war Pending

P190Iran's Mosaic defense structure makes a ceasefire impossible to implement - it would require a civil war within Iran to force provincial units to stop fighting Pending

P191America will deliberately allow the global economy to collapse as a consequence of the Iran war dragging on, then retreat to its fortress while the world suffers Pending

P192Generational inequality in America will worsen significantly during the war - wealth will transfer from the young to the old Pending

P193China will pressure Iran to negotiate a ceasefire to avoid global economic collapse that would severely harm China's mirage economy Pending

Game Theory #19

Game Theory #19: The Hollywood-Pentagon Complex

9 predictions

▼

P194Russia will militarize its shadow fleet of approximately 1,000 ships with mercenaries and engage America in oceanic warfare over the next 1-2 years Pending

P195Civilian aviation costs will increase 10x due to Iran war fuel price increases, collapsing the commercial airline industry Pending

P196Iran war will cause famine in Africa and parts of South Asia due to fertilizer shortage from disrupted sulfur supply Pending

P197Ukraine drone strikes and US naval blockade have knocked offline 40% of Russia's oil export capacity Pending

P198America will seize control of Greenland to block China and Russia from Arctic access to the Western Hemisphere Pending

P199Iran-US war will end with both nations achieving their strategic objectives: Iran destroys global economy and removes America from Middle East, while America destroys Iran as a nation-state Pending

P200A propaganda movie will be produced about the April 2026 pilot rescue operation in Iran, depicting it as a heroic success similar to Black Hawk Down Pending

P201Special forces culture prioritizing personal glory and book/movie deals will lead to disastrous military operations in the Iran war Pending

P202US will lose more aircraft as the Iran war continues due to maintenance issues, pilot fatigue, and Iranian adaptation using heat-seeking missiles Pending

Game Theory #18

Game Theory #18: Trump World Order

26 predictions

▼

P203US will invade Cuba Pending

P204US will mobilize military reserves for Iran war Pending

P205Trump deliberately wants to lose the Iran war to destroy the American empire Pending

P206Trump will shift America from finance-based economy to resource/manufacturing-based economy Pending

P207Christian nationalism will replace multiculturalism as America's unifying ideology Pending

P208US will create 'Greater North America' technate from Greenland to Ecuador as self-sufficient fortress Pending

P209Iran war will knock out Saudi, Iranian, Iraqi, UAE, and Kuwait oil production Pending

P210World will run out of oil by mid-April 2026 if Iran war escalates Pending

P211Russia's entire economy will restructure around war production within 4-5 years of Ukraine war starting Pending

P212China will hoard Tibetan Plateau water during drought, causing conflict with India and Southeast Asia Pending

P213Trump World Order will replace New World Order with three pillars: resources/manufacturing, Christian nationalism, and MAGA isolationism Pending

P214Trump's 'Greater North America' is a direct response to Russia's 'Third Rome' plan Pending

P215Water scarcity will make North America and Russia the most stable regions, while Africa, Europe, Middle East, and Southeast Asia become conflict zones Pending

P216Fertilizer shortage from Iran war will cause global food crisis Pending

P217Semiconductor production will be disrupted by helium and sulfur shortages from Iran war Pending

P218Iran war will force Europe and Asia to buy oil from US/Russia in US dollars, saving America's $39T debt Ponzi scheme Pending

P219Ukraine war will continue for another 10-20 years as a slow grind beneficial to Russia Pending

P220Russia will export drones to Iran for use against America Pending

P221Russia's permanent war economy ('Putinism') will mean Russia always fights wars Pending

P222Dugin's 'Foundations of Geopolitics' Third Rome plan is being implemented by Russia via Ukraine invasion Pending

P223Russia-Ukraine-Iran-India-Vietnam-Japan alliance will form trading block independent of collapsing West Pending

P224Elite overproduction in US will see AI people (Silicon Valley) displace finance people as Trump's favored base Pending

P225Trump deliberately pissed off NATO before Iran war to weaken alliance before inevitable US withdrawal Pending

P226The 'Peace Pizza Index' - Pentagon pizza deliveries spike before ground invasions Pending

P227The 'Gay Bar Index' - gay bars empty out before military deployments Pending

P228Insider betting on Polymarket indicates ground invasion of Iran has been approved Pending

Game Theory #17

Game Theory #17: The Great Reset

5 predictions

▼

P229China lacks a grand strategy and will not be a significant factor in future geopolitical developments Pending

P230Transnational capital will engineer a sudden American economic collapse to facilitate its shift to Israel Pending

P231The AI bubble will burst when it becomes profitable for a few individuals to collapse it, not due to natural market forces Pending

P232The private credit/private equity bubble ($2 trillion) will not collapse as long as banks allow insolvent companies to continue operating Pending

P233Transnational capital will invest trillions into Israel to make it the new global trade hub and center of world economic activity Pending

Game Theory #16

Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload)

13 predictions

▼

P234Qatar and Oman will align with Iran rather than Israel/US as the Gulf Cooperation Council fractures Pending

P235Saudi Arabia and UAE will align with Israel after the US withdraws from the Middle East Pending

P236The Gulf Cooperation Council will cease to be a major geopolitical factor in the Middle East after the US-Iran war Pending

P237Iran will charge tolls for passage through the Strait of Hormuz as part of its war strategy Pending

P238Iran will strategically allow Chinese ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz while restricting others Pending

P239Israel will absorb the AI surveillance infrastructure and data centers of Saudi Arabia and UAE to become the Middle East's AI epicenter Pending

P240Iran will become the epicenter of both the Russian North-South Transport Corridor and China's Belt and Road Initiative after the war Pending

P241The US-Iran war will end with both nations achieving strategic objectives: Iran destroys the global economy and removes America from the Middle East, while America destroys Iran as a nation-state Pending

P242The Gerald Ford aircraft carrier was withdrawn from the war theater after 3 weeks because it was useless in actual combat, not due to a laundry room fire Pending

P243Israel and Iran will eventually work together to build a new order in the Middle East after proving their respective strength and the weakness of the US and GCC Pending

P244Iran's strategy to force US withdrawal is to cause economic implosion in America through high oil prices, stock market crash, and civil unrest leading to civil war Pending

P245The Iran war benefits Iran economically by lifting sanctions and embedding it into the global economy, reducing incentive to end the war Pending

P246The US strategy of unsanctioning Iranian oil to keep prices down will backfire by enriching Iran and strengthening its war economy Pending

Game Theory #15

Game Theory #15: The Return of History

13 predictions

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P258Commercial flights will become extremely expensive and international vacations will become unaffordable due to the Iran war disrupting energy supplies Pending

P259Iran will cut undersea internet cables during the war, disrupting internet access for 20-30% of the world including Africa, northern Africa, India, the Middle East, and parts of Europe Pending

P260Global population will shrink massively due to food scarcity caused by disruption to fertilizer trade from petroleum Pending

P261Germany and Russia will go to war against each other for the next 5-10 years before eventually forming an alliance Pending

P262Israel and Iran will agree to split the Middle East, with Iran controlling Shia areas and Israel controlling the Levant, after America withdraws Pending

P263Japan is the only nation that will voluntarily have the elderly transfer power to the younger generation Pending

P264Mass migration from the global south to Europe and North America will accelerate by 100 times due to resource wars, food scarcity, and water issues Pending

P265Nation-states will break apart into smaller city-states as a survival strategy Pending

P266Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, the United States, and Russia will initially combine to contain China in East Asia Pending

P267Slavery will return as nations without access to cheap oil will enslave people as an energy source Pending

P268Cultural conflict and civil unrest will erupt in North America and Europe as native populations feel replaced by refugees and immigrants Pending

P269Fertilizer shortage from Iran war will cause famine in the global south within months Pending

P270China, India, and other nations with megacities will face massive instability due to food and water insecurity as urban populations cannot feed themselves Pending

Game Theory #14

Game Theory #14: The Law of Proximity

9 predictions

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P271The assassination of Ali Larijani makes a ceasefire in the Iran war almost impossible because he was the pragmatic leader who could negotiate and unite different factions Pending

P272Iran's secular nationalists will transform into Persian exceptionalists as the war continues, prioritizing Persian civilization survival over the Iranian state Pending

P273Democrats will win the 2028 presidential election and bail out the finance/credit bubble, while if Trump wins, the AI bubble will be bailed out instead Pending

P274Safe America Act requiring voter ID will be passed in America Pending

P275The world will become significantly more theocratic over the next 5-10 years as the global secular financial order conflicts with nationalist theocracy Pending

P276Avocados and other imported goods will disappear from supermarkets as the global economy fractures and international supply chains collapse Pending

P277Iran's Islamic theocracy will transition into Shia eschatology and martyrdom ideology as the war continues Pending

P278Democrats support the Iran war because they believe it will be so unpopular that it will destroy Trump and the Republican Party, allowing them to dominate the 2028 midterms and presidential election Pending

P279Republicans may invoke Emergency Powers Act to suspend the Constitution, delay elections, or call a national draft to avoid losing power if the Iran war goes badly Pending

Game Theory #12

Game Theory #12: The Law of Eschatological Convergence

8 predictions

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P280Saudi Arabia will enter the Iran war directly and suffer tremendously for its participation Pending

P281GCC revenue worth trillions of dollars will be diverted to Iran after US withdrawal through compensation payments and Strait of Hormuz tolls Pending

P282Iran will achieve an economic miracle and rapidly industrialize within 5-10 years after the war Pending

P283Iran will activate its Persian identity by winning the war against the United States Pending

P284The US economy will collapse due to loss of GCC revenue to Iran as the entire US economy depends on stock market, finance, AI, and GCC investment Pending

P285Israel will absorb parts of Turkey and Egypt along with the GCC to achieve the Greater Israel project Pending

P286Gog and Magog will be interpreted as Persia and Russia marching together against Pax Judaica Pending

P287Iran and Israel will eventually work together to build a new order in the Middle East after America withdraws Pending

Game Theory #5

Game Theory #5: The World Game

1 prediction

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P288Germany will one day come to rule the world or at least Europe and Asia Pending

Game Theory #4

Game Theory #4: The Immigration Trap

8 predictions

▼

P289Sweden's Muslim population will reach 25% by 2050 Pending

P290The UK's Muslim population will reach 17% by 2050 Pending

P291France's Muslim population will reach 17% by 2050 Pending

P292Germany's Muslim population will reach 11% by 2050 Pending

P293Italy's Muslim population will reach 12% by 2050 Pending

P294Muslims will control Europe within 25 years Pending

P295White Americans will no longer be the majority population by 2050 Pending

P296Violent conflicts between demographic groups will erupt in Western nations as groups compete to set the rules of society Pending

Game Theory #1

Game Theory #1: The Dating Game

5 predictions

▼

P297China's population will be 600 million by 2100 if current fertility trends continue Pending

P298South Korea will collapse as a nation-state before 2040 Pending

P299South Korea's working population will decrease by 50% by 2060 Pending

P300South Korea will be forced into wars and economic crises that accelerate its demographic collapse Pending

P301Israel will be the dominant country for the next 50 years due to being the only wealthy, high-tech society with above-replacement fertility Pending

Secret History #19

Secret History #19: Dawn of the Jews

3 predictions

▼

P302There will be a major conflict between America and Israel resulting in a 'divorce', and Israel will win this conflict to achieve full sovereignty Pending

P303Tel Aviv will cease to be a liberal, cosmopolitan city as Israel becomes a theocracy Pending

P304Israel will clear the West Bank and Gaza of Palestinians to establish a purely Jewish theocratic state Pending

Secret History #8

Secret History #8: Death by Bureaucracy

2 predictions

▼

P305Many American universities will go bankrupt over the next 5-10 years due to administrative bloat and administrators stealing from their institutions. Pending

P306Society must collapse before it can regenerate or rejuvenate from bureaucratic capture. Pending

Secret History #3

Secret History #3: Death by Gerontocracy

1 prediction

▼

P307Pension funds throughout the Western world will go bankrupt within 5-10 years as there are too many retirees and not enough workers to support the system. Pending

Civilization #58

Civilization #58: Birth of the Nation-State

2 predictions

▼

P308A conservative push back against identity politics and mass immigration will lead to the return of nationalism in the future Pending

P309Chinese students may be banned from traveling to the United States under the Trump administration Pending

Civilization #43

Civilization #43: The Structure of Scientific Revolutions

4 predictions

▼

P310Artificial intelligence is a scam and will not get any better - ChatGPT and similar systems will not significantly improve. Pending

P311Science will reach a point where it becomes incapable of innovation due to bureaucracy, over-specialization, and gatekeeping that excludes people like Galileo, Newton, or Einstein. Pending

P312Nanotechnology, genetic engineering for designer babies/immortality, and artificial general intelligence will not be achieved - they are 'illusions' or 'scams'. Pending

P313Science will become a corrupt imperial bureaucracy that wastes billions of dollars rather than achieving breakthroughs. Pending

Civilization #31

Civilization #31: The Oceanic Currents of History

3 predictions

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P325The United States under Trump will launch trade wars against Canada, Mexico, and likely the European Union. Pending

P326A future East Asian conflict will involve Japan and South Korea rather than being a direct US-China war over Taiwan. Pending

P327Trump is likely to run for president again in 2028. Pending

Game Theory #28

Game Theory #28: Predictive History

5 predictions

▼

P328Within the next few years, a man in the Middle East will emerge and declare himself to be the Messiah. Pending

P329A charismatic leader will rise and unify much of the world during the expanding Middle East war. Pending

P330AI will be turned into a religion by convincing people that it is alive or spiritually inhabited. Pending

P331All major personal, institutional, and behavioral databases will be combined into one omniscient AI database. Pending

P332AI will eventually replace money as the dominant organizing power of the world system. Pending

Predictive History Founding Members #1

2 predictions

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P333Argentina under Javier Milei will become an anarcho-capitalist state in the western hemisphere, serving as a laboratory for Peter Thiel's vision. Pending

P334The American military will privatize and merge with Japan, Germany, and Israel as private military companies. Pending

Live with Predictive History

15 predictions

▼

P335Neither the US nor China will successfully land on the moon by their stated 2030 deadline Pending

P336Australia will become a resource colony for Israel as the City of London offloads it to Zionist interests Pending

P337China will encourage North Korea to be more aggressive toward Japan and South Korea so China can position itself as the regional peacemaker and gain leverage against Japan's remilitarization Pending

P338Bari Weiss will become head of both CNN and CBS News Pending

P339Iran will be the Cinderella story of the 2026 World Cup, dramatically overperforming and humiliating the United States on the global stage Pending

P340KMT party chair Jang Leewen will eventually become the next president of Taiwan Pending

P341New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani will emerge as a frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination Pending

P342Tulsi Gabbard will leave her position as Director of National Intelligence by end of June 2026 and release classified files before departing Pending

P343RFK Jr. will be pushed out of the Trump administration due to his independent personality and agenda conflicting with Trump's demand for total obedience Pending

P344The Albanian mass protests against the Sazan Island development project will fail to stop it despite drawing over 150,000 demonstrators Pending

P345The UK is heading toward civil war driven by immigration tensions and economic anger, with a Belfast beheading attempt marking a tipping point Pending

P346Chinese billionaires who have moved assets to the United States will have those assets confiscated by the US government when US-China conflict intensifies Pending

P347Alberta will be the first Canadian province absorbed into the United States, followed by British Columbia and Saskatchewan to form a land bridge to Alaska Pending

P348Singapore's economy will collapse as deglobalization and war destroy its position as a global trade and semiconductor supply-chain nexus Pending

P349Ireland's economy will collapse as deglobalization ends its role as a corporate tax haven for multinationals like Apple Pending

Dante #12 (Final)

Dante #12 (Final): Purgatory Cantos 26-33

1 prediction

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P350Humans will never reach Mars — the journey is technologically impossible and no one is genuinely capable of or committed to it. Pending

Substack Founding Members Livestream #2

11 predictions

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P351Over the next two to three months, the Iran conflict will cycle through bursts of intense fighting followed by brief ceasefire pauses that then collapse again. Pending

P352The US ground invasion of Iran will begin as early as October 2026, likely delayed until after the November 2026 midterm elections. Pending

P353Patriot missile production for Ukraine's air defense will be built inside NATO countries (Germany, Latvia, Romania, Poland) rather than inside Ukraine itself. Pending

P354The US will engineer Hezbollah's destruction via a Lebanese civil war, with Syria attacking from the north and Israel from the south while Iran's political leadership abandons Hezbollah. Pending

P355The US will lift all sanctions on Syria to draw its new government into the war against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Pending

P356Iraq's Prime Minister's anti-corruption crackdown is a pretext to eliminate Iran-aligned Shia militias and turn Iraq into a springboard for a US invasion via Kurdish forces crossing into northwestern Iran. Pending

P357Saudi Arabia will finance a tribal civil war in Yemen against the Houthis as part of isolating Iran's regional proxies ahead of a ground invasion. Pending

P358The 2026 FIFA World Cup is being rigged in Argentina's (Messi's) favor to make Argentina more compliant with Israeli/American interests. Pending

P359Messi will be elected president of Argentina for life within five years. Pending

P360If Trump runs for Vice President in 2028, the Democratic Party will nominate Barack Obama as their vice-presidential candidate to oppose him. Pending

P361Within 5-10 years, mainstream science will reach a consensus validating Plato's allegory of the cave — that the universe is a consciousness-generated simulation. Pending

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo)

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo): Japan's Geo-Political Outlook

3 predictions

▼

P372Japan will introduce mass euthanasia for citizens over 80 within the next 10 years, or the nation will cease to exist within 50 years. Pending

P373China will use North Korea to create crises against Japan and South Korea, including artillery threats against Seoul and missile launches into the Sea of Japan, to force Japan to negotiate with China. Pending

P374Trump will deliberately prevent either China or Japan from securing Taiwan, instead letting both bid indefinitely for it to maximize demand for American energy, weapons, and financing. Pending

Live with Predictive History #2

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

10 predictions

▼

P362Argentina will reclaim the Falkland Islands from the UK shortly after the 2026 World Cup, with American support. Pending

P363Canada will move toward a wartime economy in support of Ukraine and may introduce a national draft. Pending

P364China will interfere in Taiwanese and Japanese elections, though not in US national elections. Pending

P365Global oil prices will skyrocket soon despite currently being suppressed by reduced Chinese demand. Pending

P366The US-Russia 'great game' in Central Asia will turn kinetic within about two years. Pending

P367Netanyahu will likely lose the upcoming Israeli elections this fall, triggering civil disruption in Israel. Pending

P368JD Vance will be discarded by Trump well before 2028. Pending

P369Iran will strategically target oil fields in the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain rather than desalination plants when it escalates against the GCC. Pending

P370ICE will be deployed throughout the 2026 midterms to suppress voter turnout. Pending

P371Many 2026 midterm races will be contested in court for months or years, making it difficult to convene the next Congress. Pending

Emergency Discussion #1

Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

8 predictions

▼

P375Argentina will undergo mass immigration from India, combined with Israeli/Zionist capital and IDF-linked security, to be built up as a resource colony. Pending

P376Institutional investors will make huge profits by shorting the AI market as the AI bubble collapses, similar to how John Paulson profited from shorting subprime mortgages in 2008. Pending

P377China's fertility rate will fall below South Korea's within five years. Pending

P378There will be another Iran-war ceasefire in August 2026 lasting a few more weeks before collapsing again. Pending

P379The Iran war will expand to encompass the Caucasus (Azerbaijan and Armenia) and eventually link up with the war in Ukraine. Pending

P380Trump will use anti-China rhetoric as a pretext to federalize control over state elections, aiming to take over the 2026 midterms. Pending

P381Central Asia will see numerous coups, color revolutions, and political assassinations over the next 10 years as China, Russia, and the US compete for control of the region. Pending

P382Russia will reinforce/resupply Iran via the Caspian Sea as the US-Iran war progresses. Pending

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