Who is Professor Jiang Xueqin?
Yale-educated geopolitical analyst, university professor, and creator of the Predictive History YouTube channel.
Academic Background
Professor Jiang Xueqin is a Yale-educated scholar and geopolitical analyst whose academic career spans some of China's most prestigious institutions. He has held teaching positions at both Tsinghua University and Peking University, two of the top-ranked universities in Asia. His academic work sits at the intersection of geostrategy, civilizational analysis, and international relations, offering a perspective that blends Western academic training with deep knowledge of Chinese and East Asian geopolitical thought.
His educational background at Yale provided him with a rigorous grounding in history, political theory, and strategic studies. This foundation, combined with years of teaching and research in China, gives his analysis a distinctive cross-cultural lens that few other commentators possess. He brings historical depth to current events, drawing on patterns from ancient civilizations, religious movements, and imperial cycles to explain modern geopolitics.
The Predictive History YouTube Channel
Professor Jiang runs the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel, where he applies his academic framework to make specific, falsifiable predictions about world events. Between April 2024 and March 2026, he recorded 24 video lectures covering geostrategy, game theory, civilizational analysis, and eschatology.
What sets Professor Jiang apart from typical geopolitical commentators is his willingness to make concrete predictions on camera. Across his 24 lectures, he has made 111 specific, falsifiable predictions about events ranging from US presidential elections and military conflicts to long-term civilizational shifts. This level of specificity allows his track record to be objectively assessed rather than relying on vague post-hoc interpretations.
His lectures are not short takes or hot takes. Each video is a substantial, lecture-format presentation that walks through his reasoning in detail, citing historical precedents, strategic logic, and game-theoretic frameworks. He builds arguments methodically, connecting individual predictions to a broader thesis about where the world is heading.
Lecture Series Overview
Professor Jiang's YouTube content is organized into several interconnected lecture series:
- Geo-Strategy (#1 through #11 + END): The core series covering geopolitical analysis. These lectures lay out his fundamental thesis about the decline of American power, the rise of new imperial formations, and the strategic logic driving major nation-states. Topics include Iran's strategy matrix, Christian Zionism, Saudi Arabia's geopolitical position, and the mechanics of great power competition.
- Geo-Strategy Updates (#2 through #8): A companion series providing real-time analysis of current events as they unfold. These lectures connect breaking news to his broader framework, testing and refining his predictions against actual developments on the ground.
- Game Theory series: Lectures applying formal strategic frameworks to geopolitical questions. Professor Jiang uses game theory not as abstract mathematics but as a practical tool for understanding why nations, leaders, and factions make the choices they do.
- Civilization END: A long-term analysis of civilizational decline, examining historical patterns of imperial collapse and what they suggest about the current trajectory of Western civilization.
- Secret History END: The culmination of his Pax Judaica thesis, examining the historical and strategic forces behind what he calls the emerging Empire of Israel.
Key Themes in Professor Jiang's Work
Several major themes recur throughout Professor Jiang's lectures, forming the pillars of his analytical framework:
- The decline of the American Empire: Professor Jiang argues that the United States is undergoing a structural imperial decline, analogous to previous great power collapses. He identifies economic overextension, internal political fractures, and strategic miscalculation as accelerating factors.
- The rise of Pax Judaica / Empire of Israel: One of his most distinctive and controversial theses is that a new geopolitical order centered on Israel is emerging from the decline of American hegemony. He traces this through historical, religious, and strategic analysis.
- US-Iran conflict as a pivotal trigger: He identifies the confrontation between the United States and Iran as a key catalyst that will reshape the Middle East and accelerate broader geopolitical realignment.
- Game theory applied to geopolitics: Rather than relying on ideology or narrative, Professor Jiang uses game-theoretic reasoning to explain and predict state behavior, alliance formation, and conflict escalation.
- Christian Zionism and its geopolitical impact: He examines how Christian Zionist theology influences American foreign policy, particularly regarding Israel and the Middle East, arguing that this religious-political force is a major driver of US strategic decisions.
- The Second American Civil War thesis: Professor Jiang predicts that internal divisions in the United States will escalate beyond political polarization into a structural crisis comparable to a civil conflict, fundamentally altering America's role in the world.
Notable Predictions
Among Professor Jiang's 111 tracked predictions, several have attracted particular attention. He predicted Donald Trump's 2024 election victory months before the race was decided. He forecast a US-Iran military confrontation well ahead of most mainstream analysts. His analysis of Ayatollah Khamenei's strategic position and the dynamics within Iran's leadership has proven notably prescient.
Of course, not every prediction has been correct, and transparency about wrong calls is part of what makes tracking his record valuable. For a complete breakdown of confirmed, wrong, and pending predictions, see the full prediction tracker.