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Per-prediction updates and Q&A on Professor Jiang Xueqin's geopolitical forecasts. 6 prediction updates · 1 Q&A post.

• Q&A May 27, 2026

  Jiang Xueqin Accuracy: 88% of His Resolved Predictions Have Come True

  As of May 2026, Professor Jiang Xueqin's track record on resolved predictions stands at 88%—22 out of 25 predictions that can be definitively assessed have been confirmed or partially confirmed. This number comes with an important cave

• Confirmed P082 May 27, 2026

  Global Witness Report Resolves Jiang's Venezuela Attack Prediction

  Global Witness reported on Jan. 13, 2026, that the United States attacked Venezuela, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that America would attack Venezuela. Following that report, prediction P082 was recorded as confirmed on May

• Confirmed P071 May 27, 2026

  Time Magazine Said China Was Sitting Out the War on Iran

  Time Magazine described China as sitting out the war on Iran on March 23, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that China would not significantly participate in the Iran conflict. Following that report, prediction P071 was recorded

• Confirmed P018 May 25, 2026

  PBS Timeline Shows US-Iran War Lasted Many Weeks

  PBS reported on April 21 that Donald J. Trump’s shifting public statements showed the US-Iran war had been underway from late February or March and remained a subject of ongoing or near-resolution discussion in mid-to-late April. Following

• Confirmed P015 May 25, 2026

  The Guardian Reported an Iran Campaign Shift, Resolving Jiang's Forecast

  The Guardian reported that Donald J. Trump moved from shock-and-awe bombardment to a wait-and-see posture in Iran, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that the doctrine would fail there. Following The Guardian's report, prediction

• Confirmed P001 May 22, 2026

  Donald J. Trump Won the 2024 Presidential Election, the AP Reported

  Donald J. Trump won the 2024 presidential election, the Associated Press reported on Nov. 6, 2024. Following the AP's report, prediction P001 was recorded as confirmed.

• Wrong P002a May 22, 2026

  Reuters Reported Donald J. Trump Picked JD Vance as His Running Mate

  Reuters reported on July 15, 2024, that Donald J. Trump selected Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. The report resolved Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that Trump would pick