← Jiang Predictions
🔥 Evidence Radar
What's moving right now
🔥 0 surging
13 moving
39 quiet
52 tracked
Updated August 8, 2026
🔥 The mover · most active right now
“Nuclear weapons will NOT be used in the Iran war”
↗ moving toward this
The news right now runs toward this happening.
← away · less likelyundecidedmore likely · toward →
Evidence pointing toward it
Also moving this week
“The US-Iran war constitutes World War III”
↗'WW3 Weapons Are Here': Iran Shocks All With Stunning Reveal | 'Our Military Strength Is Intact...'The Times of India · Jul 23Read
“The US will send ground troops into Iran”
Our read: Likely Confirmed
↗President Donald Trump Refuses to Rule Out Deploying US Ground Troops to IranNews On AIR · Aug 7Read
“Russia will win the war in Ukraine”
Our read: Likely Wrong
↘Russia, losing in Ukraine, abruptly changes its propaganda narrativeThe Hill · Jul 29Read
“Europe will go to war with Russia”
Our read: Likely Wrong
↗With Russia at the door and the US backing away, Europe has to build its own ‘way of war’The Guardian · Aug 4Read
“US military draft will be reinstated to sustain Iran ground war”
→The cost of America abandoning the military draftThe Washington Post · Jun 30Read
“America's financial system / asset bubbles will eventually implode”
↘America Is Great at Creating Stock Market Bubbles—and Shrugging Them OffWSJ · Aug 2Read
Quiet
39 predictions with no notable news this week
- “Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president” · US Elections
- “Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years” · US Domestic
- “If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages” · US-Iran War
- “The American/Israeli strategy is to fracture Iran into ethnic enclaves fighting over water” · US-Iran War
- “The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran” · US-Iran War
- “Saudi Arabia is pushing the US toward war with Iran -- it cannot survive without US fighting Iran for it” · US-Iran War
- “Dubai is dead as a global financial/luxury city in the long term” · Middle East
- “Dubai will go bankrupt” · Middle East
- “The entire GCC (including Saudi Arabia) will eventually collapse” · Middle East
- “Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica)” · Middle East
- “The Dome of the Rock will be destroyed and the Third Temple built” · Middle East
- “Global surge of anti-Semitism will compel Jews worldwide to return to Israel” · Middle East
- “The world will eventually unite against Greater Israel” · Middle East
- “The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it” · Russia/Ukraine
- “The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle” · Russia/Ukraine
- “NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine)” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Putin is preparing Russia for Total War to reshape Russian society” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Russia will defend Iran -- cannot afford for Iran to fall” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Western Ukraine will become a 'welfare state for the European Union'” · Russia/Ukraine
- “America will retreat from the world and become isolationist” · US Domestic
- “The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon” · Global Order
- “North Korea will become much more belligerent against South Korea and Japan” · Global Order
- “The EU will be dead in about five years (by ~2029)” · Europe
- “Europe becomes pro-Russian after civil wars/revolutions” · Europe