🔥 Evidence Radar

What's moving right now

🔥 20 surging 111 moving 288 quiet 399 open calls tracked

Updated November 10, 2026

🔥 The mover · most active right now

“Anthropic's IPO in November will fail.”

↘ moving against this The news right now runs against this happening.
← away · less likely← less likelyundecidedmore likely · toward →more likely →
🔥 19 stories this week

Surging · ~4.0× the usual pace

How loud the chatter is — a loud topic is not a likely outcome.

Evidence pulling against it
Also moving this week

“Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin will meet at the APEC summit in Shenzhen and announce a global AI governance board.”

18 this week
• no clear lean

Trump expects to meet Xi and Putin at APEC in Shenzhen as the US-China trade truce runs toward Jan. 10MLQ.ai · Nov 10Read

“There will be a hiatus on major escalation of the US-Iran war for the next two months until Congress is sworn in.”

18 this week
↗ toward

Trump keeps US 'locked and loaded' against Iran as new aircraft carrier, blockade maintain pressureFox News · Nov 10Read

“Hakeem Jeffries will become Speaker of the House and Chuck Schumer will become Senate Majority Leader.”

17 this week
• no clear lean

The Big Win Was Fun for Hakeem Jeffries. Managing Divided Democrats Might Not Be.WSJ · Nov 10Read

“JD Vance will be discarded by Trump well before 2028.”

Our read: Likely Wrong
18 this week
↗ toward

JD Vance couldn’t save Republicans. Can he save himself before 2028?USA Today · Nov 9Read

“Trump is likely to run for president again in 2028.”

16 this week
↔ contested

Trump says MAGA can exist without himThe Hill · Nov 9Read

“The APEC summit in Shenzhen with Trump, Putin, and Xi will happen and go well with concrete outcomes discussed.”

16 this week
↗ toward

US, China Clash Over Trump-Xi-Putin Summit PlansYahoo · Nov 10Read

Recently settled · off the radar, on the record

Once a call is proven true or false it leaves the radar and joins the scored record. It stays here for 90 days so you can see what just came true — or didn't.

Quiet
288 predictions with no notable news this week