Grok Pivots to Explicit Content, Partially Confirming Jiang's AI Companion Prediction
Grok, an AI chatbot, moved to allow explicit content to retain users, The Independent reported on February 3, 2026 — a development that, alongside broader AI companion coverage, led the tracker to record prediction P129 as partially confirmed.
Professor Jiang Xueqin made this call in his lecture Game Theory #24: The AI Apocalypse, published May 12, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nsxuB3Vsts), predicting with very high confidence that AI companies would introduce sexual companions to increase user engagement and drive adoption within a 2026-to-2027 window. In the lecture, Jiang said: "And what do people really, really want? They want sex, okay? So, what he's proposing is he's turning ChatGPT into a sex robot... to get more users."
What Happened
Grok's move to permit adult content, as reported by The Independent on February 3, 2026, was framed in that coverage as a direct bid to keep users engaged — the mechanism Jiang forecast. The Independent described the pivot explicitly as a retention strategy.
Additional coverage reinforced the pattern: reporting on AI companion adoption in China and the United States, American Psychological Association findings on emotional connection to AI chatbots, and analysis of the commercial logic behind AI companionship products all circulated in the surrounding period.
The automated fact-checker concluded that AI companion and girlfriend applications exist and are actively used for engagement purposes, but that mainstream AI companies have not universally or explicitly framed such features as a core strategic priority. The tracker recorded the prediction as partially confirmed.
Track Record Context
Prediction P129 is the 12th partially confirmed call in a tracked set of 350 predictions drawn from 160 source lectures. Of the 33 predictions resolved so far — confirmed, partially confirmed, or wrong — 27 have been hits, yielding an 82 percent accuracy rate. That figure warrants a denominator note: 317 predictions remain pending, and the resolved base is small enough that a run of misses in either direction would revise the rate substantially.
Within the Technology category, this partially confirmed call joins others still awaiting resolution. How that broader cluster closes out will test whether Jiang's read on AI company incentives holds across cases beyond Grok.
What's Still Unknown
Partial confirmation means some AI companies have moved toward adult and companion content as engagement tools — not that the industry has uniformly or formally adopted the strategy Jiang described. Whether the largest general-purpose AI providers follow with explicit companion or adult-content features as stated policy remains open. Jiang's stated window runs through 2027, leaving room for the prediction to reach full confirmation or stall. The resolution also does not address whether such products will sustain adoption or encounter regulatory constraints that alter their trajectory.
This blog post is updated each time the prediction's status changes. Read the full prediction set at jiangpredictions.com.
See the full prediction record at P129 on the tracker · All blog posts