Jiang Xueqin Confirmed Predictions: 13 He Has Gotten Right

Of the 335 predictions jiangpredictions.com has extracted from Professor Jiang Xueqin's YouTube lectures, 27 have resolved against real-world events — and 13 are confirmed Jiang Xueqin right predictions. Fold in the 11 partially confirmed calls and his headline accuracy on resolved predictions sits at 89%, though that denominator is still small. The bulk of his confirmed record is one cluster: the 2026 US-Iran war, which he called in detail across more than a year of lectures.

The full list of his confirmed calls lives at the tracker's confirmed filter. The table below summarizes each one with when it was predicted and when it came to pass.

Every confirmed prediction, dated

| ID | Prediction | Category | Predicted | Confirmed | |---|---|---|---|---| | P001 | Trump wins the 2024 election | US Elections | April 2024 | Nov 2024 | | P002b | JD Vance as Trump's VP pick | US Elections | May 2024 | Summer 2024 | | P011 | The US goes to war with Iran | US-Iran War | April 2024 | 2026 | | P012 | US bombs Iran's nuclear sites | US-Iran War | 2024 | 2026 | | P015 | "Shock and Awe" fails in Iran | US-Iran War | May 2024 | 2026 | | P018 | Iran war lasts weeks to years | US-Iran War | March 2026 | 2026 | | P026 | Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz | Middle East | Summer 2025 | 2026 | | P027 | Iran strikes GCC states at war's start | Middle East | 2024–25 | 2026 | | P041 | Mojtaba Khamenei as next Supreme Leader | Iran Internal | May 2024 | 2026 | | P071 | China stays out of the Iran conflict | China | Early 2026 | 2026 | | P082 | The US attacks Venezuela | Americas | December 2025 | 2026 | | P088 | Decapitation strike kills Ayatollah Khamenei | US-Iran War | — | ~March 2026 | | P105 | US/Israel destroys Iran's navy | US-Iran War | — | March 2026 |

A caveat on those dates: "Predicted" reflects the lecture timestamp recorded in the database, and "Confirmed" reflects the resolution window drawn from the tracked timeline rather than a single news dateline. Eight of the thirteen resolved inside the March 2026 opening of the Iran war.

The Iran cluster

The strongest stretch of Jiang's record is the US-Iran war itself. He first predicted the conflict in April 2024 (P011), framing it inside a two-to-four-year window; it opened in 2026, on the early edge of that range. He then layered specifics across 2024 and 2025: that the US would bomb Iran's nuclear facilities (P012), that the Pentagon's Shock and Awe playbook would fail there as it had before (P015), and that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz (P026) and strike Gulf states such as the UAE and Bahrain at the outset (P027).

The most granular calls landed in the war's first weeks. His prediction that a US decapitation strike would kill Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (P088) and that US and Israeli forces would destroy the Iranian navy (P105) both resolved in roughly March 2026, alongside the call that the war would stretch into many weeks and possibly years rather than ending in days (P018).

The political calls

Away from Iran, Jiang's confirmed predictions are sparser but notable. He called a Trump victory in April 2024 (P001) and named JD Vance as a strong vice-presidential pick a month later (P002b) — Vance took the nomination that summer. He forecast a US move on Venezuela in December 2025 (P082), a Chinese decision to stay out of the Iran fight in early 2026 (P071), and Mojtaba Khamenei succeeding his father as Supreme Leader (P041), predicted in May 2024.

Where the record is partial — and honest

Eleven more predictions are partially confirmed rather than fully resolved. His argument that the US-Iran war amounts to World War III (P021) is scored partial because the global escalation it implies is still unfolding, not because it is wrong. The same holds for his claim that nuclear weapons would not be used (P016), that attacks on Iranian civilian infrastructure would escalate (P020), and that the American formula of bombs, propaganda, and money would fail against Iran (P023). Three predictions are scored flatly wrong.

The denominator matters: 27 resolved calls out of 335 tracked is roughly 8% of the record. The 89% figure describes how Jiang has performed on predictions the world has already adjudicated, not his overall hit rate — 308 calls are still pending, and most will not resolve for years. That is the honest framing behind every predictive history confirmed tally: a strong early record on a small, war-heavy sample.

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