Where to Watch Jiang Xueqin's Lectures on YouTube and Beyond
Professor Jiang Xueqin publishes almost all of his geopolitical lectures on a single channel: Predictive History on YouTube (@PredictiveHistory). His only other first-party outlets are a Substack newsletter and an X account. There is no personal website to speak of — and worth flagging, the similar-looking predictivehistory.com is a fan archive, not Jiang's own. Here is where to watch Jiang Xueqin's lectures online, plus where to read and follow along.
The Predictive History YouTube channel
The primary source is Jiang Xueqin's YouTube channel, @PredictiveHistory. That is where he records the long-form lectures — on China, US foreign policy, and the wider geopolitical order — that every claim tracked on this site is drawn from. As of 2026-07-25, the system has ingested 175 source lectures (174 of them transcribed), each one timestamped and broken into discrete, checkable predictions.
If you have heard a specific claim and want to find the video it came from, the fastest route is not YouTube's search but the by-video index here, which maps every tracked prediction back to the lecture it was made in.
The Substack archive
For written analysis, Jiang also publishes at predictivehistory.substack.com. The Substack mirrors and expands on the themes of the video lectures, and it is the channel where he engages directly with readers — replies to his newsletter emails reach his inbox. If you prefer reading to watching, or want to follow a thread between a video and an essay, the Substack is the place.
The lecture index here
This site does not host the videos; it indexes them. The by-video index lists each source lecture alongside the predictions extracted from it, the date each claim was made, its category, and its current status. It is the most efficient way to move from "Jiang said X" to "here is the exact lecture, and here is whether X has come to pass."
That matters because the lectures are dense. A single video can carry a dozen or more distinct predictions, and the ones that read as throwaway asides are sometimes the most consequential. The index lets you skip straight to the claim rather than scrubbing through an hour of footage.
A track record worth following along with
The reason to keep the lectures and the index open at the same time is that a meaningful share of Jiang's calls have already landed. As of 2026-07-25, the tracker holds 372 predictions, of which 21 have resolved — 16 confirmed and 5 wrong, for a headline accuracy of 76%. That denominator is still small, so read 76% as an early snapshot of a working forecaster, not a final grade.
The confirmed column includes some of his most visible calls. His April 2024 prediction that Trump would win the presidential election (P001) was confirmed when the race was called that November. The cluster of US-Iran war predictions — that the United States would go to war with Iran (P011), bomb its nuclear facilities (P012), and that a decapitation strike would kill Ayatollah Khamenei (P088) — were confirmed as the conflict escalated in early 2026, when mainstream outlets reported the strikes and the succession questions that followed.
The wrong column is smaller but real. His May 2024 call that Trump would pick Nikki Haley as vice president (P002a) was wrong; Trump chose JD Vance, whom Jiang had separately flagged as a strong alternative pick (P002b). And his prediction that Putin would declare a nuclear umbrella over Iran (P017) did not hold.
What is still on the clock
Most of the tracker — 333 predictions — remains pending, either still waiting on events or set aside as not yet judgeable. Those are the calls worth watching the lectures for: the next stretch of the Iran horizon, the China questions, the technology bets. The YouTube channel is where they are made. The Substack is where they are argued. The index here is where they are checked.
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