🔥 Evidence Radar

What's moving right now

🔥 7 surging 65 moving 266 quiet 331 open calls tracked

Updated September 26, 2026

🔥 The mover · most active right now

“Beyond the state visit at the end of September, Trump and Xi will hold two more bilateral meetings in 2026 — one at APEC and one at the G20.”

• no clear lean yet Not enough relevant news yet to read a direction.
← away · less likely← less likelyundecidedmore likely · toward →more likely →
🔥 19 stories this week

Surging · ~4.0× the usual pace

How loud the chatter is — a loud topic is not a likely outcome.

Latest coverage
Also moving this week

“Trump will shift US policy from not supporting Taiwan independence to openly opposing Taiwan independence and supporting China-Taiwan unification.”

6 this week
↗ toward

Xi seizes Trump detente to seek lasting gains on trade, TaiwanThe Business Times · Sep 26Read

“Xi Jinping's September 24, 2026 visit to the United States will mark a turnaround toward compromise in US-China relations.”

6 this week
↗ toward

As Trump Hosts State Dinner Honoring Xi, See the MenuThe New York Times · Sep 25Read

“Europe will go to war with Russia”

Our read: Likely Confirmed
5 this week
↗ toward

Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence saysThe Guardian · Sep 24Read

“Bari Weiss will become head of both CNN and CBS News”

6 this week
↘ against

What happens to CNN when Paramount and Warner Bros. merge?The Washington Post · Sep 24Read

“The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it”

Our read: Likely Confirmed
5 this week
• no clear lean

"Do not let Putin drag you into this war": Zelenskyy urges India, 46 other nations at UN to 'limit' Russia's war capabilitiesIndia's News.Net · Sep 24Read

“Xi Jinping will not regain effective control of China, and China will remain in a state of deep political paralysis.”

4 this week
↘ against

Trump-Xi Summit: 5 Takeaways From Their White House MeetingTempo.co English · Sep 25Read

Recently settled · off the radar, on the record

Once a call is proven true or false it leaves the radar and joins the scored record. It stays here for 90 days so you can see what just came true — or didn't.

Quiet
266 predictions with no notable news this week