P378
There will be another Iran-war ceasefire in August 2026 lasting a few more weeks before collapsing again.

Status: Pending
Predicted
July 2026
Timeline
August 2026
Category
US-Iran War
Confidence
Low

What Jiang said

“it's possible in August uh there's another ceasefire for another few more weeks”

Analysis

Jiang frames the conflict as cycling through bursts of fighting and short truces, suggesting a possible new ceasefire in August that would only last a few weeks.

Source lecture

Status history

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