Still open: waiting on events (2028-2029).
P464
Trump will not get a third term only if he dies in office; Jiang explicitly sets Trump's third term as the litmus test of his entire model.
What Jiang said
“My biggest prediction that I've made, of course, that Trump will get a third term. Okay. So, this is the litmus test.”
Analysis
He says his biggest prediction is that Trump gets a third term and that failure (absent Trump dying in office) would let people ignore him.
Status history
- 2026-10-26 · Pending (claude-sonnet-5-5)