P484
The APEC summit in Shenzhen with Trump, Putin, and Xi will happen and go well with concrete outcomes discussed.

What Jiang said

“I think this conference will happen. I think this summit will happen. I think it will go very well.”

Analysis

He expects discussion of Russia and China helping the US find a face-saving exit from the Iran war and peace in Ukraine.

Status history

• 2026-11-07 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)

Related predictions

• P483Congress will authorize the Clarity Act to create a stablecoin regulatory framework backed by US Treasuries. Pending
• P485The peace outcomes from the APEC summit will ultimately fail because too many geopolitical forces are at work. Pending
• P482Congress will either authorize the Iran war or remain silent and be complicit in the ground invasion. Pending
• P486Global crises including AI bubble collapse, riots, protests, and political unrest in Europe will continue during the transition period. Pending
• P481By March 2027, US ground troops will be in Iran. Pending