P352
The US ground invasion of Iran will begin as early as October 2026, likely delayed until after the November 2026 midterm elections.

What Jiang said

“But um I would say they've already they've already decided on [invasion]. It will happen as early as October um possibly after the midterms.”

Analysis

He says the invasion is already being staged (60,000 troops, two carriers, ~20 warships) but is delayed by heat and the need to draw the Kurds in first as a front line to expose the IRGC to US airpower.

Status history

• 2026-07-12 · Pending (claude_extract)

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