All predictions · Russia/Ukraine

P353
Patriot missile production for Ukraine's air defense will be built inside NATO countries (Germany, Latvia, Romania, Poland) rather than inside Ukraine itself.

What Jiang said

“when Trump says he is arming... Ukraine patriot missiles, what he's really saying is that he's arming Europe for a long-term confrontation with uh Russia.”

Analysis

Locating the factories inside NATO territory means a Russian strike on them would trigger Article 5, which he argues Russia won't risk — so Trump's real move is arming Europe for long-term confrontation with Russia, not just arming Ukraine.

Source lecture

• Substack Founding Members Livestream #2

Status history

• 2026-07-12 · Pending (claude_extract)

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