P369
Iran will strategically target oil fields in the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain rather than desalination plants when it escalates against the GCC.
What Jiang said
“you're better off targeting oil fields, right? ... focus your energies on Kuwait, UAE, and Ban[Bahrain]... hold back against Qatar and Saudi Arabia”
Analysis
He says hitting desalination plants would be a 'nuclear option' causing mass civilian suffering and uniting the whole GCC against Iran, whereas targeting oil fields of the three most hostile GCC states applies economic pain while dividing the bloc.
Source lecture
Status history
- 2026-07-18 · Pending (claude_extract)