P367
Netanyahu will likely lose the upcoming Israeli elections this fall, triggering civil disruption in Israel.

Status: Pending
Predicted
July 2026
Timeline
Fall 2026
Category
Middle East
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“there are elections coming up in Israel uh in the fall and Netanyahu will probably lose um and this will create a lot of civil disruption”

Analysis

He argues this is a better lever against Israel than direct Iranian military strikes, which would only unify the country behind Netanyahu.

Source lecture

Status history

Related predictions

Track his next call

He predicted the Iran war, Trump's comeback, and the fall of Khamenei — on camera, before they happened. Get a free email the moment his next prediction is confirmed or proven wrong.