All predictions · Japan

P373
China will use North Korea to create crises against Japan and South Korea, including artillery threats against Seoul and missile launches into the Sea of Japan, to force Japan to negotiate with China.

What Jiang said

“North Korea threatens South Korea with artillery, and then North Korea would lob missiles in the sea of Japan. This would create a lot of crises in these Asia, in which case, Japan would need to negotiate with China.”

Analysis

Jiang says China's strategy is to use impoverished North Korea as leverage: North Korea threatens South Korea with artillery and lobs missiles into the Sea of Japan, creating regional crises that force Japan to negotiate with China to restrain North Korea.

Source lecture

• Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo)

Status history

• 2026-07-18 · Pending (claude_extract)

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