All predictions · Europe

P383
Spain will be forced to abandon Ceuta entirely and cede the enclave to Morocco within the next few years.

What Jiang said

“The Spanish have absolutely no choice but to withdraw from CO2 and seed that territory to Morocco.”

Analysis

Jiang argues Morocco can repeat 50,000-migrant surges every few weeks, overwhelming Ceuta's social services and security until residents choose to leave and the remaining holdouts are eventually forced out.

Source lecture

• Emergency Discussion #2

Status history

• 2026-08-02 · Pending (claude_extract)

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