All predictions · Global Order

P385
A conflict/flare-up will occur between Malaysia and Indonesia over control of the Strait of Malacca.

What Jiang said

“we can expect okay this is a prediction but if our analysis is correct we can expect some flare up between Malaysia and Indonesia where Indonesia for the sake of you know global trade exerts greater control over the state of Malika”

Analysis

Jiang argues that, following the US-Indonesia military alliance, Indonesia will be induced to exert greater unilateral control over the Strait of Malacca (currently shared with Malaysia), backed by Israel and the American military, mirroring the Gibraltar/Ceuta precedent.

Source lecture

• Emergency Discussion #2

Status history

• 2026-08-02 · Pending (claude_extract)

Related predictions

• P384Vox leader Santiago Abascal will replace Pedro Sánchez as Spain's Prime Minister as the migrant crisis worsens. Pending
• P386Within the next 5 to 10 years, most of the world will unite against the United States and Israel in response to their perceived imperial overreach. Pending
• P383Spain will be forced to abandon Ceuta entirely and cede the enclave to Morocco within the next few years. Pending
• P381Central Asia will see numerous coups, color revolutions, and political assassinations over the next 10 years as China, Russia, and the US compete for control of the region. Pending
• P379The Iran war will expand to encompass the Caucasus (Azerbaijan and Armenia) and eventually link up with the war in Ukraine. Pending