P404
Rather than a conventional ground invasion, the US will take Alberta by inserting special forces and CIA agents to organize local insurgents into a guerrilla movement.

Status: Pending
Predicted
September 2026
Timeline
2026-2028
Category
Americas
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“if you look at US military... their main strategy is use special forces and embed them into local insurgents... So there's no way they're going to send in a ground invasion... what they'll most likely do is insert special forces, CIA agents, and uh organize local insurgents.”

Analysis

He argues a US ground invasion of Alberta would be too costly and unpopular, so Washington will instead follow its standard playbook of embedding special forces with local insurgents.

Source lecture

Status history

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