P407
China will restrict or close its borders around September 15, 2026, effectively 'turtling out' in anticipation of war with Japan.

Status: Pending
Predicted
September 2026
Timeline
September 2026
Category
China
Confidence
High

What Jiang said

“on September 15th um you know 10 days from now what's going to happen is China will restrict or close its border basically. Okay. So China would basically turtle out.”

Analysis

He ties this to an expected China-Japan war forcing China to repatriate capital and resources from abroad, making its recent outward expansion (e.g. trade/investment deals) unsustainable.

Source lecture

Status history

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