All predictions · Americas

P362
Argentina will reclaim the Falkland Islands from the UK shortly after the 2026 World Cup, with American support.

What Jiang said

“I think the next move is to reclaim the Fland Islands and again with American support”

Analysis

He argues the US wants to enforce the Monroe Doctrine against European interference in the Western Hemisphere, and Argentine nationalism galvanized by a World Cup win will push Argentina to reclaim the islands with little the UK can do.

Source lecture

• Live with Predictive History #2

Status history

• 2026-07-18 · Pending (claude_extract)

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