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Core Framework

Reality as Hallucination

If no one perceives reality directly, then geopolitics is a war of perception.

“We never perceive reality directly, Jiang argues — we construct it. And if reality is participatory, then the deepest contest between powers is not over resources but over perception.”
This page documents Professor Jiang's interpretive, openly speculative philosophy of perception. It describes how he reasons; it does not endorse his metaphysical or historical claims (including his readings of science and the space program), and the tracker takes no position on them.
In one paragraph The epistemic floor beneath Jiang's other frameworks. Drawing on Kant, Hegel and quantum mechanics, he argues that what we experience is a constructed “hallucination”: the thing-in-itself is just vibration and energy, filtered by the mind into time and space. If there is no single objective reality — if “everyone lives in his or her own reality” — then belief is causal, and the real battlefield of geopolitics is perception. His sharp corollary: modern science and media exist less to discover reality than to reinvent it in the service of power.
From metaphysics to a war of perception
We participate
“we are not observers of reality, we are participants”
the observer collapses the quantum wave-function
No objective reality
“everyone lives in his or her own reality”
the noumenon — the thing-in-itself — is unknowable
A war of perception
power is contested through belief, not just resources
“science reinvents reality to serve power”

What it says

Jiang's claim is that perception is participatory, not passive: “we are not observers of reality, we are participants in reality.” Behind the world we see (the phenomenon) lies an unknowable noumenon — Kant's thing-in-itself — which he describes as pure vibration and energy; the mind manufactures the familiar world by imposing time and space on it. He marshals quantum wave-function collapse and the Wigner's-friend puzzle to argue there is no observer-independent reality. The strategic payoff is what makes this a power framework and not just metaphysics: because reality is belief-dependent, “this is a war of perception,” and the function of materialist science, schooling and media is to reinvent reality to keep populations governable.

How the world gets constructed

Jiang's pipeline runs from energy to experience: the raw real is vibration; the mind filters it through the categories of time and space; out comes the stable, solid-seeming world — which is, in his word, “hallucinated.” This is not a denial that anything exists, but a claim that what we know is always our own construction. From there he concludes that two people, two nations, two civilizations can inhabit genuinely different realities — and that whoever shapes perception shapes the outcome.

Science and media as reality-engineering

The provocative move is functional: Jiang argues that the Big Bang, evolution and neuroscience are taught not because they are simply true but because a materialist paradigm — “there is no soul, death is the end” — produces a frightened, controllable population. The space program he reads as perception-warfare against the idea of heaven; AI and data centers as a coming “matrix.” Whether or not one accepts the metaphysics, the framework's geopolitical use is clear: treat narrative as a domain of war.

In Jiang's words

“We are not observers of reality, we are participants in reality.”— Secret History #9
“We imagine reality. We hallucinate reality.”— Secret History #9
“There is no objective reality that exists outside of you… everyone lives in his or her own reality.”— Secret History #9
“This war — it's not over resources, it's over perception. This is a war of perception.”— Secret History #9
“All of science is not about discovering reality, it's about reinventing reality in a way that serves power.”— Secret History #9

Where he applies it

What it predicts

The forecasts Jiang draws are civilizational rather than dated:

Tracked predictions from this framework

Live predictions on this site that this framework generated — their status updates automatically as events resolve.

P078Partially Confirmed
Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy)
P079Pending
Dispensationalist premillennialism will become more popular over time in America
P080Pending
Putin sees himself as restoring the Byzantine Empire -- will eventually take Constantinople
P081Pending
Putin will initiate reconciliation between Islamic world and Orthodox world, then fail because he is human
P136Pending
There will be a huge surge in eschatology and religious extremism throughout the world over the next few years as populations respond to 21st century warfare strategies
P286Pending
Gog and Magog will be interpreted as Persia and Russia marching together against Pax Judaica

Related frameworks

Watch the source lectures

Jiang Xueqin lecture — Secret History #9

Secret History #9

youtube.com/@PredictiveHistory

Jiang Xueqin lecture — Great Books #4

Great Books #4

youtube.com/@PredictiveHistory

This framework is one of several behind 335 tracked predictions — 29 already resolved.

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