P415
China will attempt to reunify with Taiwan within the next 10 years through a negotiated pathway tied to a US-China deal.
What Jiang said
“China agrees to open up its financial markets and United States tells China we won't deal with Taiwan... and basically creates a pathway for Taiwan and China to unify in the next 10 years.”
Analysis
This was part of his 'grand bargain' prediction that he now believes may be wrong.
Source lecture
Status history
- 2026-09-26 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)