P414
A grand bargain between the US and China will be announced by early 2027 involving China opening its financial markets.

Status: Pending
Heating up · 2 stories in the news this week · evidence toward live radar →
Predicted
September 2026
Timeline
By early 2027
Category
Global Order
Confidence
Low

What Jiang said

“It seems I'm wrong about this prediction. It's possible in two, three months time things will change.”

Analysis

Jiang admitted he may be wrong about his prior prediction of a grand bargain because paralysis in China's leadership prevents any controversial decisions.

Source lecture

Status history

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