All predictions · Global Order

P412
The US and China will not go to war with each other.

What Jiang said

“So I don't really see the United States and China ever going to war against each other.”

Analysis

Jiang argues the two countries are too far apart geographically and he cannot identify a clear geopolitical conflict that would justify war because China does not actually intend to take Taiwan.

Source lecture

• Emergency Discussion #3

Status history

• 2026-09-26 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)

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